Before you build it, find out what kills it.

Failure Forecast stress-tests your business idea, app, SaaS or expensive decision before you waste time, money or reputation on the wrong thing.

  • Find the assumptions most likely to kill the idea
  • See what to test before spending more
  • Decide whether to continue, narrow, pivot or stop

Add as much detail as you like, the more concrete, the sharper the attack. You can refine it on the next step.

No card required. Get your first failure diagnosis in minutes.

Use Failure Forecast before you commit to the wrong idea

It is not just for startup founders. Use it before you spend serious time, money or reputation on an idea that still has untested assumptions.

Build an app
Buy stock for a product
Run paid ads
Launch a course
Start a paid community
Hire a developer
Open a second location
Package a service into a product
Quit your job for a side idea
Spend months building something nobody asked for
Stress-test your idea free

No card required. Get your first failure diagnosis in minutes.

Spot fatal risks
Before spending money, ordering stock, hiring devs, or running ads.
Vague → survival plan
Turn a fuzzy idea into a focused, testable 7-day plan.
Rank risks brutally
Likelihood × severity × avoidability. No fluff, no cheerleading.
Get a verdict
Proceed, Pivot, Pause, or Kill, with the reasoning shown.
How it works

Four steps. No fluff.

01
Describe your idea
Plain English. What it is, who it's for, how it makes money.
02
We attack the assumptions
Risk logic ranks the weakest points by likelihood and severity.
03
You get a Failure Forecast
Brutal verdict, survival score, and a practical fix list.
04
Fix and reforecast
Iterate the idea. Watch the survival score climb.
What you get

Inside every Failure Forecast

Brutal Verdict

A direct, founder-grade summary of why this fails, or doesn't.

Future Failure Story

A 12-month-from-now post-mortem written before you spend a penny.

Full Risk Register

Every meaningful failure risk for your idea, ranked by likelihood, severity, and how avoidable they are.

Risk Heatmap

A visual grid of likelihood vs severity so the landmines stand out.

Assumption Kill List

What must be true for this to work, and how to test it fast.

Competitor & Market Signals

Crowding, complaints, and where the wedge actually lives.

Customer Objection Map

The 5 objections most likely to kill conversion, with fixes.

Survival Score

A single number that captures the whole picture, 0-100.

Best Route Forward

The sharpest niche, offer, channel and price to start with.

7-Day Risk Reduction Plan

What to do each day this week to de-risk before building.

Objection

Why not just ask ChatGPT?

You can. But most founders do not ask ChatGPT the hard questions. They ask whether an idea is good, get a balanced answer, feel reassured, and keep building.

Failure Forecast is different. It forces your idea through a structured pre-mortem: market pull, willingness to pay, differentiation, distribution, execution difficulty, trust risk, retention risk and kill criteria.

The value is not “AI feedback.” The value is a repeatable failure-risk diagnosis before you waste time, money or reputation on the wrong thing.

ChatGPT gives you a blank box.
Failure Forecast gives you a founder risk framework.
ChatGPT depends on the prompt.
Failure Forecast forces the dangerous questions.
ChatGPT may encourage the idea.
Failure Forecast looks for what could kill it.
ChatGPT gives an answer.
Failure Forecast gives risks, warning signs, kill criteria and next tests.

ChatGPT can answer your questions. Failure Forecast makes sure you ask the dangerous ones.

Failure Forecast stress-tests business ideas, startups, products, apps, and launches using risk analysis, competitor signals, customer objections, trend patterns, and failure logic, then gives you the strongest route forward.

What alpha users say

No pep talks. Just signal.

"It spotted a risk I genuinely hadn't thought about."

Alpha user · Solo founder

"Brutal, but actually useful."

Alpha user · Indie hacker

"This would have saved me wasting money on a bad idea."

Alpha user · First-time founder

"It felt like a hostile investor had reviewed my idea."

Alpha user · Repeat founder
Pricing

Built for builders, not browsers

Limited time, 50% off all plans
Free Mini Forecast
$0
1 mini forecast. Basic risks & score.
See plans
Full Forecast
$7.50$14.9950% off
One full report. Export PDF.
Run a Full Forecast
3 Report Pack
$15.00$29.9950% off
3 full reports. Best value for testing ideas.
See plans

Before you spend a penny, attack the idea first.

Find the landmines before you step on them. Run a Failure Forecast and get a survival plan in under 60 seconds.